Showing posts with label Strikeouts (Pitching). Show all posts
Showing posts with label Strikeouts (Pitching). Show all posts

Friday, February 27, 2009

The Worst K/BB Ratios, Minimum 50 IP

This Beyond the Box Score post mentions Mariano Rivera's seventy-seven strikeouts and six walks last season and how his 12.83 K/BB ratio is stunningly high. As a commenter on that post revealed, Dennis Eckersley is the only reliever ever to record a higher ratio in 50 or more innings pitched. Eck had ratios of 18.33 and 18.25 in 1989 and 1990, respectively, with 128 strikeouts against seven walks in the two seasons combined. In fact, only two other pitchers had better ratios than Eckersley. Both pitched in the nineteenth century and both had, suspiciously, only one base on balls allowed. In 1879, Fred Goldsmith struck out 31 batters in 63 innings for Troy of the National League. In 1882, Bert Dorr struck out 34 batters in 66 innings for St. Louis of the American Association. Given the relatively fluid rules and the vagaries of record-keeping back then, I don't think it's unreasonable to discount Goldsmith and Dorr.

But even if you count Goldsmith and Dorr, there's no such controversy on the other end of the list. The all-time worst K/BB among pitchers with 50+ IP in a season belongs to Ted Wingfield. After a couple seasons as a reliable swingman who didn't strike many people out for the Red Sox, Wingfield totally lost his strikeout ability in 1927. In 74 2/3 innings, Wingfield went 1-7 with a 5.06 ERA. He also issued 27 walks against only one strikeout, good for a 0.04 K/BB. He wasn't the only pitcher to struggle in that era, as a look at the ten worst K/BB since 1901 shows.

Worst K/BB Since 1901, Minimum 50 IP

NameTeamIPKBBK:BB
Ted Wingfield1927 BOS74.2127.037
Ray Moss1928 BRO60.1535.143
Jack Berly1933 PHI50.0422.182
Skinny Graham1929 DET51.2733.212
Jack Dunn1901 PHI/BLA64.1628.214
Dewey Metivier1923 CLE73.1938.237
Les Sweetland1928 PHI135.12397.237
Bob Kline1933 BOS127.01667.239
Joe Coleman1950 PHA54.01250.240
Norman Plitt1927 BRO/NYG69.7937.243

The combination of low strikeout and high walk rates in both major leagues was lethal to these guys. For a more recent feel, let's turn to the worst K:BB rates of the last 10 years:

Worst K/BB Since 1999, Minimum 50 IP

NameTeamIPKBBK:BB
Dan Serafini
1999 CHC
62.1
17
32
.531
Kirk Rueter
2005 SFG
107.1
25
47
.532
Scott Erickson
2005 LAD
55.115
25.600
Steve Avery
1999 CIN
96.0
51
78
.654
Russ Ortiz
2005 ARI
115.0
46
65
.708
Dewon Brazelton
2005 TBD
71.043
60
.717
Steve Trachsel
2007 BAL/CHC
158.056
76
.737
Jimmy Anderson
2002 PIT
140.247
63
.746
Aaron Cook
2003 COL
124.0
43
57
.754
Ken Cloude
1999 SEA
72.1
35
46
.761

Both 1999 and 2005 show up three times on the list. If you're curious, here are the six major leaguers with 50+ IP and a K:BB of 1.000 or lower in 2008:
  • Tom Glavine, ATL, 37 K, 37 BB, 1.000
  • Tom Gorzelanny, PIT, 67 K, 70 BB, .957
  • Miguel Batista, SEA, 73 K, 79 BB, .924
  • Greg Reynolds, COL, 22 K, 26 BB, .846
  • Kason Gabbard, TEX, 33 K, 39 BB, .846
  • Fausto Carmona, CLE, 58 K, 70 BB, .829

Friday, December 19, 2008

Whiffing at Second

Baseball has stereotypes about the offense provided by players at each defensive position. First basemen and designated hitters are expected to be sluggers. Third basemen and corner outfielders are expected to fill in the heart of the order around those sluggers. A center fielder with power is nice, but as long as he's fast and has a good glove, it's okay if he can't drive the ball. Any offense a catcher provides is a bonus. Shortstops are also poor hitters who make up for it with defense. That changed in the last decade when a number of good-hitting shortstops reached the majors, but you can still find some offensive black holes at shortstop around the league.

Second base is another position that has had its share of good hitters debut in recent years. Since 1956, second basemen have combined to put up an OPS+ of between 90 and 95. In three of the last four seasons, however, second basemen have been league average, putting up a collective OPS+ of 100. Since 1993, the 2B OPS+ has dipped below 95 only five times.

Second basemen have also hit for more power in recent years. Of course, any fan can tell you the same thing has happened throughout the major leagues. From the end of the deadball era in 1920 through 1992, the major league slugging percentage topped .400 only ten times. Since 1993, the MLB slugging percentage hasn't fallen below .403 (the next lowest was .416 last year). From 1956 through 1992, second basemen usually slugged around .030 under the league rate. Since 1993, that number has fallen closer to .020 and three of the last four years have seen a difference of .007 or less. Using raw numbers, after never once topping even .380 between 1956 and 1992, second basemen haven't slugged under .380 since 1993 (.378). A second baseman topped 20 home runs 46 times from 1876 through 1992. Since 1993, second basemen have reached 20 home runs 61 times.

The theme of this post is second basemen striking out. It's become less notable as strikeouts have gone up, but 100 always used to be a milestone for single-season strikeouts. Hitters who managed to whiff into triple digits were considered hackers. Consider that from 1901 to 1920, only three players reached 100 strikeouts in a season, all in 1913 or 1914. After 1920, no one struck out 100 times in a year until Bruce Campbell in 1932. Only fifty-seven batters reached the century mark between 1920 and 1960. Then, in 1961, the numbers started jumping up. In 1961 alone, ten players topped 100, the same number of players who did so in the 1930's. Twelve batters hit triple digits in 1962, and twenty-two did so in 1963. In four years from 1961 to 1964, more batters struck out 100 times in a season than in the previous forty years.

There's a simple fact that skews these numbers. In 1961, the American League played a 162-game schedule for the first time. In 1962, the National League did the same thing. Eight extra games over the old standard 154-game schedule may not sound like a lot, but when coupled with the already noted rising strikeout rates, it obviously pushed a lot of players over 100 strikeouts. The number of players topping 100 each year has gone up and down with the strikeout rate (surprise!), right on through to today. In fact, 2007 set and 2008 tied a record for the most batters with 100+ strikeouts: 86. That's almost three players for every team!

This post was originally going to look at second baseman who've struck out more than 100 times in a season. I figured that a position not normally known for producing power hitters wouldn't have very many high strikeout totals, at least until recent years. Instead, my post wound up looking at second basemen hitting compared to league hitting and then rambled into a discussion of strikeouts and strikeout rates over time. Finally, however, I'm ready to do what I wanted when I started writing this: look at whiffing second basemen!

When do you think the first second baseman (meaning a player who spent at least half his games at second) topped 100 K's in a year? The 1930's? World War II? The 1950's? If you said any of those, you'd be wrong. Nope, it took until the introduction of the 162-game schedule for the first second baseman to reach the century mark. Ironically, it wouldn't have mattered if his team only played 154 games. In 1961, Tigers rookie Jake Wood played in all 162 games and struck out a then-record 141 times. After running into a rough sophomore slump, he lost his starting job and never really recovered it.

He wasn't the only notable whiffer at second base during the 1960's. Jerry Kindall, Ken Hubbs, Dick McAuliffe, and Jerry Buchek all went over 100 once. Dick Green did it twice. But Bobby Knoop was the first second baseman to strike out 100+ times regularly. He did so five straight years from 1964 to 1968 before losing his hitting stroke at the age of 30. Knoop had above-average pop for a second baseman, but his real calling card was defense: he won three straight Gold Gloves starting in 1966.

Strikeouts dipped leaguewide during the 1970's, and the number of second basemen reaching triple digits in a year saw a steep drop. Only three players topped 100 in the 1970's: Dave Campbell, Pedro Garcia, and Bobby Grich. Campbell and Garcia saw their playing time slashed in the years following their hacktastic seasons. Grich, however, was just at the beginning of an excellent career. From 1974 to 1982, Grich was the only second baseman to go over 100 K's, doing so three times.

From 1983 to 1992, Ron Oester, Ryne Sandberg, Lou Whitaker, and Ron Gant all surged past the century mark once. Delino DeShields did so twice and Robby Thompson got there three times. The most prodigious whiffer of the 1980's, however, was the Phillies' Juan Samuel. During his rookie season Samual established a second baseman record with 168 strikeouts. He struck out over 120 times in each of his first seven seasons at second base, but he made up for it with good power for his position.

It wasn't until 1996 that 100+ strikeouts really became commonplace for second sackers. Since that year, at least two and usually more than five second basemen have topped 100 K's every season. In 2008 alone, seven second baseman passsed the century mark (can you name them?) There have been plenty of multiple offenders, too. Bret Boone holds the record with eight such seasons, one more than Samuel. Craig Biggio did it six times in his career. He's in the outfield now, but Alfonso Soriano reached 100 five times at second, the same number of times as Jeff Kent. Ray Durham is the only other second baseman to ever reach 100 four times. Dan Uggla and Chase Utley have a chance at joining Durham at four next year.

Give up identifying the seven 100-K second basemen in 2008? They were Uggla (171), Akinori Iwamura (131), Rickie Weeks (115), Kelly Johnson (113), Mark DeRosa (106), Brian Roberts (104), and Utley (104).

As the major league strikeout rate has gone up, so has the strikeout rate for second baseman. The same effect can be seen in hitting for power. Looking at the list of multiple 100-K second basemen, they all have or had decent power. It's safe to say that as long as major league hitters strikeout at record paces (almost 20% of all at bats last year!) and have higher slugging percentages than any other era in baseball history, multiple second basemen will top 100 K's every year.

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Strikeouts in Relief

If you look at the list of strikeouts per nine innings by pitchers throwing 50 or more innings in 2008, relievers occupy the top nine spots. Only three full-time starters show up in the top thirty. Relievers these days usually only have to pitch an inning in an outing so it's easier for them to try and blow away hitters, plus only seeing a batter once per game means the hitter has no time to adjust to what the reliever is throwing.

Whatever the reason for all the whiffing, Carlos Marmol led all MLB relievers last season with 114 strikeouts. Joel Hanrahan was second with 93, while Brad Lidge, Octavio Dotel, and J.P. Howell rounded out the top five with 92. Marmol's season total is definitely impressive, not only because he outpaced everyone by twenty, but also because it's the most relief strikeouts since 2004. His total isn't anywhere near the record for most strikeouts in relief, however.

A pitcher has reached 120 strikeouts in relief in a single season thirty-six times. Some of those pitchers, like Mike Marshall or Goose Gossage, got there by throwing a ton of innings in relief. Some pitchers, like Billy Wagner, got there by striking out a ton of batters per nine innings. The rest were obviously a healthy mix of those two extremes. Whatever method got them there, the list of pitchers is below:

Most Strikeouts as a Reliever in a Season
  1. Dick Radatz, 1964 Red Sox, 181
  2. Mark Eichhorn, 1986 Blue Jays, 166
  3. Dick Radatz, 1963 Red Sox, 162
  4. Brad Lidge, 2004 Astros, 157
  5. Dick Selma, 1970 Phillies, 153
  6. Goose Gossage, 1977 Pirates, 151
  7. Dick Radatz, 1962 Red Sox, 144
  8. Mike Marshall, 1974 Dodgers, 143
  9. Rob Dibble, 1989 Reds, 141
  10. Eric Gagne, 2003 Dodgers, 137
  11. Jim Kern, 1979 Rangers, 136
  12. Rob Dibble, 1990 Reds, 136
  13. John Hiller, 1974 Tigers, 136
  14. Duane Ward, 1991 Blue Jays, 132
  15. Goose Gossage, 1975 White Sox, 130
  16. Mariano Rivera, 1996 Yankees, 130
  17. Bruce Sutter, 1977 Cubs, 129
  18. Mark Davis, 1985 Giants, 128
  19. Tom Henke, 1987 Blue Jays, 128
  20. Armando Benitez, 1999 Mets, 128
  21. Octavio Dotel, 2001 Astros, 128
  22. Scott Garrelts, 1987 Giants, 127
  23. Lance McCullers, 1987 Padres, 126
  24. John Hiller, 1973 Tigers, 124
  25. Mike Marshall, 1973 Expos, 124
  26. Rob Dibble, 1991 Reds, 124
  27. Billy Wagner, 1999 Astros, 124
  28. Mitch Williams, 1987 Rangers, 123
  29. Keith Foulke, 1999 White Sox, 123
  30. Francisco Rodriguez, 2004 Angels, 123
  31. Goose Gossage, 1978 Yankees, 122
  32. Duane Ward, 1989 Blue Jays, 122
  33. Octavio Dotel, 2004 Astros/A's, 122
  34. B.J. Ryan, 2004 Orioles, 122
  35. Dick Radatz, 1965 Red Sox, 121
  36. Mark Littell, 1978 Cardinals, 120
Octavio Dotel in 2001 also made 4 starts, Mark Littell made 2 starts in 1978, and Mark Davis and Mitch Williams each made one start in their seasons. The strikeouts they recorded in those starts were not included when making the list.

Students of baseball history may recognize the significance of the season behind Mike Marshall's highest appearance on the list. That was the year he pitched 208 1/3 innings over a major league record 106 games. He only struck out six batters per nine innings, but the sheer number of innings pitched allowed him to rack up K's. Meanwhile, Eric Gagne, Billy Wagner, and Brad Lidge made up for pitching fewer innings by striking out just under fifteen batters per nine innings.

And now for something completely different: students of ridiculous baseball videos may recognize Mark Littell, also known as the guy who enjoys proving athletic supporters work.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Highest Game Score in a Loss

Yesterday I posted about the lowest game scores for a winning pitcher. For a refresher on what a game score is and how it's figured, click here to see the post.

Today I want to look at the opposite of yesterdday's post: the highest game scores by a losing pitcher. Since game scores reward pitchers who throw a lot of innings in a game, I'm going to split it into nine-inning games and extra-inning games in order to avoid a bunch of ten and eleven inning outings on the list before getting to any regular-length games. Since it's rare for a pitcher these days to go past nine innings, having two different leaderboards should help get some more recent games on the list.

I decided to forgo making a table in favor of a simpler list. I don't have the pitcher's team or opponent, but that information can be found by clicking on the date of each pitcher's start.

Highest Game Score by a Losing Pitcher, 1956-2008
(Games with ten or more innings)
  • Harvey Haddix - 107 - 5/26/1959 - 12.2 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K

  • Jim Maloney - 106 - 6/14/1965 - 11.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 18 K

  • Juan Marichal - 104 - 8/19/1969 - 13.1 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 13 K

  • Nolan Ryan - 99 - 8/20/1974 - 11.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 5 BB, 19 K

  • Dick Drago - 98 - 5/24/1972 - 12.0 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 13 K

  • Warren Spahn - 97 - 7/2/1963 - 15.1 IP, 9 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K
    Pedro Ramos - 97 - 8/23/1963 - 13.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 14 K
    Bill Singer - 97 - 8/3/1973 - 11.0 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 R, 1 BB, 13 K

  • Al Jackson - 96 - 8/14/1962 - 15.0 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 5 BB, 6 K
    Steve McCatty - 96 - 8/10/1980 - 14.0 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 4 BB, 8 K

  • Sandy Koufax - 93 - 5/28/1960 - 13.0 IP, 3 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 9 BB, 15 K

  • Bob Rush - 92 - 8/23/1957 - 15.1 IP, 11 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 10 K
    Camilo Pascual - 92 - 6/5/1958 - 13.0 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 10 K

  • Chuck Dobson - 91 - 5/21/1968 - 11.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K
    Sam McDowell - 91 - 6/13/1968 - 11.0 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 6 BB, 14 K
    Ed Halicki - 91 - 5/26/1975 - 10.2 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 10 K
Those games show how starters have been reigned in over the years. Only five of those sixteen games took place after 1970 and the last one was in 1980. Given that only five pitchers in the past decade have reached ten innings in a game (and a starter going past nine innings has happened 50 times since 1990), these days it's impossible to think of a starter going 12 or more innings.

There are a couple notable games in the above collection. Harvey Haddix's outing on top of the list was a perfect game for twelve innings. In the bottom of the thirteenth, Felix Mantilla reached on an error, Eddie Mathews bunted him to second, Hank Aaron was intentionally walked, and Joe Adcock hit a double to center field to end the game. Warren Spahn's start on July 2, 1963, was his famous sixteen-inning duel with Juan Marichal (who got a game score of 112). Two strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings is nuts.

Highest Game Score by a Losing Pitcher, 1956-2008
(Games with nine innings or less)
  • Ken Johnson - 92 - 4/23/1964 - 9.0 IP, 0 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 K

  • Kevin Appier - 91 - 7/27/1993 - 9.0 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 11 K

  • Bob Sebra - 90 - 7/1/1987 - 9.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 14 K

  • Sam McDowell - 89 - 7/6/1968 - 9.0 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 14 K

  • Fernando Valenzuela - 88 - 4/28/1985 - 9.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 10 K

  • Rudy May - 87 - 69/1973 - 9.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 9 K
    Floyd Youmans - 87 - 9/27/1986 - 9.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 7 BB, 15 K
    Pedro Martinez - 87 - 5/6/2000 - 9.0 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 17 K

  • Jim Bouton - 86 - 9/16/1966 - 9.0 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 7 K
    Andy Hassler - 86 - 9/8/1974 - 9.0 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 6 K
    Bill Singer - 86 - 5/31/1975 - 9.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 10 K
    Pete Smith - 86 - 4/15/1989 - 8.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 13 K

  • Jim Nash - 85 - 7/23/1967 - 9.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 4 BB, 12 K
    Bill Singer - 85 - 6/12/1969 - 9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 12 K
    Vida Blue - 85 - 8/24/1971 - 9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 10 K
    Fred Norman - 85 - 5/7/1974 - 9.0 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 13 K
    Randy Johnson - 85 - 6/25/1999 - 9.0 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 14 K
    Jon Lieber - 85 - 5/29/2000 - 8.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 12 K
Jon Lieber and Pete Smith are the only guys on that list who didn't go nine innings in their starts. In Smith's case, it was because the game was over when his team didn't score in the top of the ninth. Lieber was pulled after throwing 116 pitches over his eight innings.

Bill Singer was pretty unlucky. He appeared once on the extra-innings list and twice on the regular game list. Of course, he managed to win 20 games in 1969 and 1973, two of the years he appeared on these lists, so I guess he wasn't hurt too badly.

Since the most recent game in the lists above took place in 2000, I looked up the highest game score by a losing pitcher during the 2008 season. On July 20, Scott Baker of the Twins gave up one run on two hits over eight innings. He walked one and struck out eight for a game score of 81.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Lowest Game Scores in a Win

A pitcher's Game Score is a quick and dirty way of examining his effectiveness during a particular start. Originally created by Bill James, it's found through this formula:
  1. Start with 50 points.
  2. Add 1 point for each out recorded, (3 points per inning).
  3. Add 2 points for each inning completed after the 4th.
  4. Add 1 point for each strikeout.
  5. Subtract 2 points for each hit allowed.
  6. Subtract 4 points for each earned run allowed.
  7. Subtract 2 points for each unearned run allowed.
  8. Subtract 1 point for each walk.
It's available plenty of places, but I took that from ESPN.com's MLB Best Games page which contains a handy-dandy list of the best game scores of the season. Ricky Nolasco's nine-inning, eleven-strikeout shutout of the Giants last Tuesday gave him the highest game score by an NL pitcher in 2008 - neat.

Anyway, game score is a neat little tool because it rewards starters who go deep into a game while striking out a lot of enemy batters and preventing opposing baserunners and runs. That's pretty common sensical-like. For more basic trivia about game scores, check out the Game Score Wikipedia article.

The reason I bring up game scores ultimately has to do with abysmal pitching. I'm sure most baseball fans can think of an awful outing by a starting pitcher who managed to come away with a win. As luck would have it, Matt Harrison of the Rangers had such a win earlier this month. On August 10, he gave up six runs on ten hits and two walks in five innings and was the winning pitcher in a 15-7 slugfest. While other pitchers have given up more runs in a start and come away with a win (Russ Ortiz, for one), you get the idea.

I want to look at the lowest game scores by a winning starting pitcher since 1956. Matt Harrison's win two weeks ago came with a game score of 21 and Russ Ortiz's bad day I linked to had a game score of 22 thanks to his seven strikeouts. There have been even lower game scores coupled with pitching wins. They were achieved, obviously, by pitchers who didn't strike out many batters while scattering hits and walks around the yard en route to a bunch of runs scored against them. Below is the list of the twenty-seven games since 1956 in which a starting pitcher with a game score of 19 or lower was the winning pitcher. The dates listed link to the box score of the game.

Lowest Game Scores by a Winning Pitcher, 1956-2008

NameDateTmOpp.Final
Score
Game
Score
Pitching Line
Ike Delock6/14/1956BOSCLE10-9195.1 IP, 9 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 5 BB, 2 K
Rick Waits8/4/1979CLETEX12-8195.1 IP, 8 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 3 BB, 2 K
Rick Aguilera8/8/1985NYMMON14-7195.0 IP, 9 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 2 BB, 0 K
Jimmy Jones7/30/1987SDPCIN12-8195.0 IP, 11 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 3 BB, 1 K
Mike Mussina7/1/1994BALCAL14-7195.0 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 1 BB, 1 K
Bobby Witt4/25/1998TEXKCR11-8195.0 IP, 9 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 2 BB, 0 K
Brian Bohanon6/15/1999COLSFG15-6195.0 IP, 12 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 4 BB, 4 K
Chris Peters8/30/1999PITCOL11-8195.0 IP, 12 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 0 BB, 0 K
Ken Holtzman5/28/1969CHCSFG9-8185.0 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 5 BB, 4 K
Charles Hudson6/11/1985PHINYM26-7185.0 IP, 13 H, 7 R, 6 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
Steve Woodard5/11/2000MILCHC14-8185.0 IP, 13 H, 7 R, 6 ER, 1 BB, 4 K
Jake Westbrook7/31/2005CLESEA9-7185.2 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 3 BB, 2 K
Bob Rush5/12/1956CHCSTL14-10175.1 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 2 BB, 1 K
Don Sutton5/5/1976LADCHC14-12175.2 IP, 14 H, 7 R, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K
Todd Stottlemyre4/23/1992TORCLE13-8176.2 IP, 13 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 K
Sid Roberson6/30/1995MILNYY12-6175.0 IP, 12 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 4 BB, 2 K
Shawn Estes7/6/1999SFGSDP10-9175.0 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 3 BB, 3 K
Bill Campbell8/3/1975MINCHW12-9165.2 IP, 9 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 6 BB, 3 K
Kirk Rueter6/12/1999SFGSEA15-11165.1 IP, 10 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 2 BB, 2 K
Casey Daigle5/10/2004ARINYM12-8155.0 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 6 ER, 3 BB, 1 K
Jaret Wright4/18/2005NYYTBD19-8155.1 IP, 11 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 3 BB, 4 K
Jae Seo5/24/2007TBDSEA13-12155.0 IP, 13 H, 7 R, 6 ER, 1 BB, 1 K
Don Sutton5/31/1979LADSFG12-10146.2 IP, 13 H, 9 R, 9 ER, 3 BB, 5 K
Jon Garland4/13/2006CHWDET13-9145.0 IP, 13 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 1 BB, 2 K
Andy Pettitte9/29/2007NYYBAL11-10145.0 IP, 8 H, 9 R, 8 ER, 3 BB, 0 K
Dan Haren8/21/2006OAKTOR12-10135.2 IP, 11 H, 9 R, 9 ER, 2 BB, 4 K
Woody Williams4/7/2001SDPCOL14-10125.0 IP, 12 H, 9 R, 8 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

As you can see, the difference between Woody Williams' start and many of the ones above it is negligible - a hit, walk, or strikeout here or there accounts for the difference in game scores and if you've given up nine runs in five innings, who really cares how you did it, right? The same can be said for most of the games listed here. That said, there's something special about having a unique combination of innings, hits, walks, strikeouts, and runs allowed among all winning pitchers in the past 52 years. I'm sure Woody Williams was glad to forget April 7, 2001, but he still got the win and (retroactively) a very dubious distinction for his trouble.

I also found the number of good pitchers on the list interesting. Hall of Famer Don Sutton shows up twice while more recent 200-game winners Mike Mussina and Andy Pettitte also appear. It might not mean as much anymore, but besides those three, nine more pitchers on the list were named to the All-Star team at least once. I guess it just goes to show you that any pitcher can have a bad day...and any pitcher can have his team's bats let him off the hook.

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Strikes Percentage, Active Players with 200+ IP

Today I want to look at the active players with 200 or more career innings pitched that throw the lowest percentage of strikes. On baseball-reference the data for this goes back only to 2000, so it's hard to make a general conclusion beyond throwing more strikes would probably help these guys. Of course, the range of the sample is between 56.3 and 70.1%, so it's not like they're far beyond gone.

Here are the thirty-nine (out of 347) active pitchers with 200+ IP below 60.0% strikes thrown for their career:

  • John Parrish, 56.3%
  • Victor Zambrano, 57.4%
  • J.C. Romero, 57.7%
  • Daniel Cabrera, 58.2%
  • Dennys Reyes, 58.2%
  • Jim Brower, 58.5%
  • Seth McClung, 58.6%
  • Jamey Wright, 58.6%
  • Mike MacDougal, 58.8%
  • Jorge de la Rosa, 58.8%
  • Scott Willamson, 58.8%
  • Chad Billingsley, 58.9%
  • Justin Miller, 58.9%
  • Victor Santos, 58.9%
  • Zach Day, 58.9%
  • Shawn Chacon, 59.0%
  • Julian Tavarez, 59.0%
  • Lance Cormier, 59.1%
  • Brandon Duckworth, 59.1%
  • Russ Ortiz, 59.1%
  • Jaret Wright, 59.2%
  • Mike Wood, 59.4%
  • Rick Ankiel, 59.4%
  • Tom Glavine, 59.5%
  • Derrick Turnbow, 59.5%
  • Jesus Colome, 59.6%
  • Dewon Brazelton, 59.6%
  • Sean Douglass, 59.6%
  • Clay Hensley, 59.7%
  • Jorge Julio, 59.7%
  • Colby Lewis, 59.7%
  • Tony Armas, Jr., 59.8%
  • Kyle Davies, 59.8%
  • Ron Villone, 59.8%
  • Todd Wellemeyer, 59.8%
  • Jay Witasick, 59.8%
  • Edwin Jackson, 59.9%
  • Jason Jennings, 59.9%
  • Nate Cornejo, 59.9%

Tom Glavine is the best pitcher on the list by far, but keep in mind this is only the part of his career since the millennium. Russ Ortiz and Jason Jennings are the only others with over 1000 innings since 2000. I also set it to look for only active players, so I'm not sure why Nate Cornejo, Sean Douglass, Dewon Brazleton, and Zach Day show up; they could be bouncing around the minors somewhere, I suppose.

I might as well list the highest strikes percentages on the list as well. Taking 66.7% (two thirds strikes) and 200 IP as the minimum, here are the top fifteen active hurlers in terms of highest strikes percentage:
  • Rafael Betancourt, 70.1%
  • Curt Schilling, 69.3%
  • Mariano Rivera, 68.5%
  • David Wells, 68.4%
  • Paul Byrd, 68.4%
  • Josh Towers, 68.1%
  • John Smoltz, 68.0%
  • Roy Oswalt, 67.8%
  • Scott Baker, 67.7%
  • Jon Lieber, 67.4%
  • Trevor Hoffman, 67.2%
  • Chad Bradford, 67.1%
  • Mike Timlin, 67.0%
  • Greg Maddux, 67.0%
  • Eddie Guardado, 66.9%
A lot of decent pitchers show up here, as you'd expect. Josh Towers certainly throws strikes, but he hasn't found the success nearly everyone else on the list has. Ditto Scott Baker, though he's certainly got a couple years yet to develop.

Thursday, October 25, 2007

Lowest SO/9 While Qualifying for ERA Title

This is pretty out there, but I figured I'd try and take a look at starting pitchers who didn't strike out many batters. I figured the easiest way to do this was to examine pitchers qualifying for the ERA title. For those unfamiliar with Rule 10.22(b) of the Official Rules, which establishes the minimums for individual pitching champions, a pitcher must throw "at least as many innings in league championship games as the number of games scheduled for each club in his club’s league that season." Thus in most seasons, the minimum is 162 innings. I'm not sure if this is what MLB does, but Baseball-Reference.com has its own method for determining the minimum requirement in strike years (i.e., 1981 & 1994). That site uses the average number of games played by teams in the league during that season.

I also only looked at seasons since 1961. Those familiar with baseball history will note that was the first year of expansion. I wanted to keep a sense of the "modern game" (as in lots of strikeouts) in the list and by going further back in history, the top of the list becomes
clogged with guys from the 1940's and 1950's. I guess it's kind of arbitrary but I think that's alright. After all, it saves the lowest SO/9 figures from 1940-1959 as an entry for a rainy day. :)

To recap, the qualifiers are that the pitcher must have qualified for the ERA title in a season since 1961 to make the list. I included ERA for fun to see if the fact they didn't strike many batters out impacted their overall line. Most of the pitchers on the list had quite good ERA's. Here are the twenty-four seasons with 2.50 SO/9 or below:

NameYearIPSOSO/9ERA
Nate Cornejo2003194.7462.134.67
Ross Grimsley1977218.3532.183.96
Steve Kline1972236.3582.212.40
Bill Lee1978177.0442.243.46
Ed Lynch1983174.7442.274.28
Clyde Wright1973257.0652.283.68
Mike Caldwell1983228.3582.294.53
Tommy John1984181.3472.334.52
Bob Stanley1979216.7562.333.99
Paul Splittorff1980204.0532.344.15
Bill Lee1979222.0592.393.04
Lary Sorensen1979235.3632.413.98
Ken Holtzman1976246.7662.413.65
Bill Swift1988174.7472.424.59
Glenn Abbott1981130.3352.423.94
Paul Hartzell1979163.0442.435.36
Jim Barr1979163.0442.433.53
Dave Rozema1978209.3572.453.14
Mike Flanagan1989171.7472.463.93
Jim Palmer1981127.3352.473.75
Lary Sorensen1980195.7542.483.68
Clyde Wright1974232.0642.484.42
Tommy John1983234.7652.494.33
Lary Sorensen1978280.7782.503.21

I wonder if Nate Cornejo realized he did something that hadn't been done for 14 years (Flanagan's 1989 was the second most recent season on the list). To put his numbers in more context with recent baseball history, only four other qualifying pitchers had less than 3.00 SO/9 since 1990: Bill Gullickson (2.60, 1992), Kirk Rueter (2.65, 2004), Ricky Bones (2.78, 1993), and Mark Knudson (2.99, 1990). Note that 1,456 seasons qualifying for ERA titles have been recorded in that time.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Most K in Final Season, Since 1901

In keeping with the final season theme but returning to the mound, I took a look at pitchers' strikeouts in their last year. Only one hurler topped 200 strikeouts in his final season and he managed to get past 300 as well (he had almost twice the K's of the second place guy!). He, of course, was Sandy Koufax. Looking at the rest of the list, only ten players struck out 120 or more their last year, and only thirty-seven passed the century mark.

The list of those with 120+ K:
  1. Sandy Koufax, 1966, 317
  2. Chuck Finley, 2002, 174
  3. Britt Burns, 1985, 172
  4. Kevin Tapani, 2001, 149
  5. Mike Sirotka, 2000, 128
  6. Lefty Williams, 1920, 128
  7. Larry Jackson, 1968, 127
  8. Pete Dowling, 1901, 124
  9. Ramon Garcia, 1997, 120
  10. John ":-)" Smiley, 1997, 120
Fun Fact: Baseball-Reference.com lists Pete Dowling's age in 1901 as 99. He must be the definition of "ageless lefty."

Here are the older-than-35 players to strike out more than 100 (a nice round number) K in 2007:
  1. John Smoltz (40) - 197
  2. Andy Pettitte (35) - 141
  3. Jamie Moyer (44) - 133
  4. Miguel Batista (36) - 133
  5. Orlando Hernandez (41) - 128
  6. Jose Contreras (35) - 113
  7. Tim Wakefield (40) - 110
  8. Greg Maddux (41) - 104
  9. Curt Schilling (40) - 101
  10. Woody Williams (40) - 101
Bonus Fun Fact: Sixty-six pitchers age 35 or older struck out at least one batter this season.

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Left-handed Firemen

Relievers have traditionally been called firemen throughout baseball history (or at least the part featuring relief pitching), but the image that generally comes to mind is of a righty bearing down and blowing 100mph fastballs by hitters. What about lefty relievers that struck out a ton of guys?

The search parameters are from 1957-2007 so we can use retrosheet data (unavailable prior to 1957) to filter out the guys like Mike Remlinger in 1997, who struck out 145 batters but had 12 starts inflating his numbers. And, yes, I suppose I should use strikeouts per innings pitched to be technical, but you'll just have to live with that. Without further ado, here's the list of the top ten lefty relief strikeout producers:
  1. John Hiller, 1974, 134 K
  2. Mark Davis, 1985, 128
  3. Billy Wagner, 1999, 124
  4. John Hiller, 1973, 124
  5. Mitch Williams, 1987, 123
  6. B.J. Ryan, 2004, 122
  7. Paul Assenmacher, 1991, 117
  8. Bill Henry, 1959, 115
  9. Billy McCool, 1965, 113
  10. Willie Hernandez, 1984, 112

Saturday, August 25, 2007

Here's looking at you, Seth McClung

The man mentioned in the title of this post has thrown all of 2 2/3 innings in the major leagues this season. Why is he special enough to merit being mentioned in the title of a random blog post? Simply for the fact he has yet to strike anyone out, walk a batter, or give up a home run. Since that struck me as odd, I decided to look up the all-time leaders for innings pitched in a season with zeros for each of those categories. As expected, the innings totals are very low (there's only been 260 such seasons since 1901), so here's the eight guys who managed to avoid strikeouts, walks and home runs. I guess you could call them zero true outcome pitchers.
  1. Jesse Petty, 9.0 IP, 1921
  2. Sam Mertes, 8.0 IP, 1902
  3. Tom Grubbs, 5.0 IP, 1920
  4. Bill Friel, 4.0 IP, 1902
  5. Jim Merritt, 3.2 IP, 1975
  6. Jack Savage, 3.1 IP, 1987
  7. Craig Mitchell, 3.1 IP, 1976
  8. Jim Pierce, 3.1 IP, 1955
Now McClung is sure to walk, strike out or give up a homer to the first hitter he faces next time out.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

0 BB, 0 K Complete Games

I've focused a lot on the offensive side of things so far, so let's look at the men on the hill. Since 1957, there have been 61 complete games in which a pitcher has neither walked nor struck out a single batter. Here's the most recent five; the dates link to the box score and play-by-play of the game:
  1. Joel Piniero, 5/1/2006, 9.0 IP, 9 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 HR, 106 pitches, 77 strikes
  2. Pedro Astacio, 4/24/1994, 9.0 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 HR, 108 pitches, 67 strikes
  3. Tom Glavine, 6/15/1993, 9.0 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 HR, 79 pitches, 53 strikes
  4. Bill Wegman, 7/11/1992, 9.0 IP, 13 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 HR, 134 pitches, 84 strikes
  5. Bill Gullickson, 5/26/1992, 9.0 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 HR, 84 pitches, 55 strikes
The entire list can be found by clicking here. It's interesting that they happened at least once a year from 1957-1994, except for 1960, 1970, and 1984 and then there was a twelve year break between 1994 and 2006. Have bullpens specialized that much more since thirteen years ago?