Friday, October 9, 2009

Three True Outcomes Per Plate Appearance, 1913-2009

An update to my Three True Outcomes (TTO) posts of January 2008 and July 2009. This version is complete through 2009. Once again, I have expanded the board by five more places.

Most Career TTO/PA, 1913-2009, min. 3000 PA

RankNamePASOBBHRTTO/PA
1
Adam Dunn
5417
1433
913
316
.4914
2
Rob Deer45121409575230.4907
3
Ryan Howard
3145
878
406
222
.4789
4
Jim Thome94632313
1619
564
.4751
5
Mark McGwire766015961317583.4564
6
Carlos Pena
3713
973
495
202
.4498
7
Mickey Tettleton57451307949245.4353
8
Pat Burrell5864
1392
842
265
.4262
9
Jay Buhner59271406792310.4231
10
Gorman Thomas54861339697268.4200
11
Brad Wilkerson
3753
947
492
122
.4159
12Danny Tartabull58421362768262.4094
13Don Lock3116776373122.4079
14Jose Canseco81291942906462.4072
15
Troy Glaus
5872
1277
791
304
.4040
16
Jason Bay
3897
896
491
185
.4034
17Mickey Mantle990917101733536.4016
18Reggie Jackson1141625971375563.3972
19
Nick Swisher
3119
665
439
133
.3966
20
Darryl Strawberry63261352816335.3957
21
Gene Tenace5525998984201.3951
22
Pete Incaviglia46771277360206.3941
23
Richie Sexson
5604
1313
588
306
.3938
24
Eric Davis61471398740282.3937
25Jim Edmonds73071669974382
.3924
T-26
Cecil Fielder
5939
1316
693
319
.3920
T-26
Ray Lankford
6674
1550
828
238
.3920
28
Mike Schmidt
10062
1883
1507
548
.3914
29
Harmon Killebrew
9831
1699
1559
573
.3897
T-30
Sammy Sosa
9896
2306
929
609
.3884
T-30
Mike Cameron
7435
1798
825
265
.3884

If you carry it out beyond four decimal places the ties go away but, hey, I wanted an excuse to include another active player.

Russell Branyan is poised to jump atop the table with 176 more plate apperances. Through 2824 career PA, he has 946 strikeouts, 339 walks, and 164 home runs, good for a .5131 TTO/PA. If you add the necessary 176 TTO-less PA to get to 3000, he still places third with .4830. Not bad. Bo Jackson, of all people, pops up between Pete Incaviglia and Richie Sexson by the same method.

Another player who should make his way into the table next year is Brad Hawpe. He sits at .3983 after 2807 career plate appearances. If Tony Clark signs on somewhere next season, he might work his way back onto the list. He's currently 32nd at .3881.

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