Showing posts with label 2009. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2009. Show all posts

Friday, October 9, 2009

Three True Outcomes Per Plate Appearance, 1913-2009

An update to my Three True Outcomes (TTO) posts of January 2008 and July 2009. This version is complete through 2009. Once again, I have expanded the board by five more places.

Most Career TTO/PA, 1913-2009, min. 3000 PA

RankNamePASOBBHRTTO/PA
1
Adam Dunn
5417
1433
913
316
.4914
2
Rob Deer45121409575230.4907
3
Ryan Howard
3145
878
406
222
.4789
4
Jim Thome94632313
1619
564
.4751
5
Mark McGwire766015961317583.4564
6
Carlos Pena
3713
973
495
202
.4498
7
Mickey Tettleton57451307949245.4353
8
Pat Burrell5864
1392
842
265
.4262
9
Jay Buhner59271406792310.4231
10
Gorman Thomas54861339697268.4200
11
Brad Wilkerson
3753
947
492
122
.4159
12Danny Tartabull58421362768262.4094
13Don Lock3116776373122.4079
14Jose Canseco81291942906462.4072
15
Troy Glaus
5872
1277
791
304
.4040
16
Jason Bay
3897
896
491
185
.4034
17Mickey Mantle990917101733536.4016
18Reggie Jackson1141625971375563.3972
19
Nick Swisher
3119
665
439
133
.3966
20
Darryl Strawberry63261352816335.3957
21
Gene Tenace5525998984201.3951
22
Pete Incaviglia46771277360206.3941
23
Richie Sexson
5604
1313
588
306
.3938
24
Eric Davis61471398740282.3937
25Jim Edmonds73071669974382
.3924
T-26
Cecil Fielder
5939
1316
693
319
.3920
T-26
Ray Lankford
6674
1550
828
238
.3920
28
Mike Schmidt
10062
1883
1507
548
.3914
29
Harmon Killebrew
9831
1699
1559
573
.3897
T-30
Sammy Sosa
9896
2306
929
609
.3884
T-30
Mike Cameron
7435
1798
825
265
.3884

If you carry it out beyond four decimal places the ties go away but, hey, I wanted an excuse to include another active player.

Russell Branyan is poised to jump atop the table with 176 more plate apperances. Through 2824 career PA, he has 946 strikeouts, 339 walks, and 164 home runs, good for a .5131 TTO/PA. If you add the necessary 176 TTO-less PA to get to 3000, he still places third with .4830. Not bad. Bo Jackson, of all people, pops up between Pete Incaviglia and Richie Sexson by the same method.

Another player who should make his way into the table next year is Brad Hawpe. He sits at .3983 after 2807 career plate appearances. If Tony Clark signs on somewhere next season, he might work his way back onto the list. He's currently 32nd at .3881.

Thursday, October 8, 2009

Most Runs Allowed in a Season, All Earned

In 2009, Houston's Roy Oswalt allowed 83 runs in 181 1/3 innings pitched. Every single one of his runs were earned. He became just the twentieth pitcher in major league history to allow more than 70 runs in a season with all of them earned. The full list:
  1. Joel Pineiro, 2005 SEA, 118 R
  2. Dick Ruthven, 1976 ATL, 112 R
  3. Frank Tanana, 1990 DET, 104 R
  4. Brian Anderson, 1998 ARI, 100 R
  5. Daisuke Matsuzaka, 2007 BOS, 100 R
  6. Rick Sutcliffe, 1988 CHC, 97 R
  7. Kelvim Escobar, 2004 ANA, 91 R
  8. Curt Schilling, 2006 BOS, 90 R
  9. Bobby Jones, 1998 NYM, 88 R
  10. John Thomson, 1998 COL, 86 R
  11. Omar Olivares, 1992 STL, 84 R
  12. Roy Oswalt, 2009 HOU, 83 R
  13. Scott Erickson, 2000 BAL, 81 R
  14. Art Decatur, 1927 PHI, 78 R
  15. Dennis Ribant, 1967 PIT, 78 R
  16. Hideki Irabu, 1998 NYY, 78 R
  17. Ryan Dempster, 1999 FLA, 77 R
  18. Hideo Nomo, 2004 LAD, 77 R
  19. John Farrell, 1993 CAL, 74 R
  20. Phil Regan, 1961 DET, 70 R

Sunday, October 4, 2009

Most SB in a Season with 0 CS

On February 22, 2008, I posted about players who stole the most bases in a season without being caught. Since the regular season is now over for all but two teams, it's time to put the new record holder atop the list. As noted in the previous post, the AL has recorded caught stealings since 1920. The NL has did not consistently record caught stealings until 1951.

Most Stolen Bases in a Season, 0 Caught Stealings
  1. Chase Utley, 2009, 23
  2. Kevin McReynolds, 1988, 21
  3. Paul Molitor, 1994, 20
  4. Gary Thurman, 1989, 16
  5. Jimmy Sexton, 1982, 16
  6. Davey Lopes, 1984, 15
  7. Terry Shumpert, 1999, 14
  8. Sean Berry, 1994, 14
  9. Carlos Beltran, 2000, 13
  10. Desi Relaford, 2000, 13
  11. Rex Hudler, 1995, 13
  12. Tim Raines, 1994, 13
  13. Lee Tinsley, 1994, 13
  14. Tom Tresh, 1964, 13
  15. Leon Culberson, 1943, 13
  16. Johnny Damon, 2009, 12
  17. David Dellucci, 2003, 12
  18. Paul Molitor, 1995, 12
  19. Fred Lynn, 1980, 12
  20. Miguel Dilone, 1977, 12
  21. Alexei Casilla, 2009, 11
  22. Albert Belle, 1996, 11
  23. Joe Carter, 1994, 11
  24. Tony Bernazard, 1982, 11
  25. Johnny Bench, 1975, 11
  26. Jesse Hill, 1936, 11
  27. Jason Bay, 2008, 10
  28. Michael Young, 2008, 10
  29. Mark Teahen, 2006, 10
  30. Miguel Tejada, 2003, 10
  31. Jim Eisenreich, 1995, 10
  32. John Jaha, 1992, 10
  33. Frank Duffy, 1976, 10
  34. Dan Meyer, 1976, 10
  35. Red Wilson, 1958, 10
  36. Charlie Gehringer, 1940, 10
Congratulations to Chase Utley for setting a new record. Utley isn't the only new addition to the list. Johnny Damon and Alexei Casilla also joined this year. Jason Bay and Michael Young should have been added after 2008 (oops).

Thanks to Tom for commenting on my February 2008 post and bringing this to my attention.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Who Needs Lefties, Part Two

In my last post, I looked at teams that used only two lefthanded pitchers in a season. In response to a comment on that post, I figured it would be worthwhile to look at teams that didn't use any lefties. If you go back to the early days of professional baseball, it would be easier to list teams that did use a lefty - the 1876 NL had no confirmed lefthanders (three clubs had pitchers of unknown handedness). Teams remained lefty-averse (or at least didn't employ memorably-handed hurlers) through the early 1890s.

Only four teams since 1900 have gone through an entire season without a single lefthander:
But does it really matter how many lefties you have if you never use them anyway? Here are the teams since 1954 with the fewest batters faced by lefthanders:
Note: the 1994 Los Angeles Dodgers (206 BF), 1994 Oakland Athletics (314 BF), 1981 Cincinnati Reds (344 BF), and 1994 Cleveland Indians (346 PA) played in strike-shortened seasons.

With six games left to play, the 2009 Cardinals duo of Trever Miller and Dennys Reyes has faced a combined 335 batters.

This year's Cardinals and a couple other teams above spoil my ending a bit, but it sure looks to me like the answer to "Who needs lefties?" is "winning teams."

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Who Needs Lefties?

With just seventeen games to go this season, the St. Louis Cardinals have used only two lefthanded pitchers, Trever Miller and Dennys Reyes. Miller and Reyes are the only lefties on their current roster, so it is unlikely a third lefty will make an appearance for the club.

Since expansion in 1961, only nineteen other teams have made it through a season with only two lefthanders:
  • 1961 Baltimore Orioles: Steve Barber & Billy Hoeft
  • 1965 Boston Red Sox: Dennis Bennett & Arnold Earley
  • 1969 Los Angeles Dodgers: Jim Brewer & Claude Osteen
  • 1971 Montreal Expos: Dan McGinn & John O'Donoghue
  • 1974 Montreal Expos: Terry Enyart & Balor Moore
  • 1976 Oakland Athletics: Vida Blue & Paul Lindblad
  • 1977 Houston Astros: Floyd Bannister & Joe Sambito
  • 1981 Cincinnati Reds: Charlie Liebrandt & Joe Price
  • 1982 Chicago Cubs: Willie Hernandez & Ken Kravec
  • 1982 Toronto Blue Jays: Jerry Garvin & Dave Geisel
  • 1983 Cincinnati Reds: Joe Price & Bill Scherrer
  • 1983 Toronto Blue Jays: Stan Clarke & Dave Geisel
  • 1984 Chicago Cubs: Ron Meridith & Steve Trout
  • 1993 Los Angeles Dodgers: Omar Daal & Steve Wilson
  • 1996 Chicago Cubs: Larry Casian & Bob Patterson
  • 2004 Anaheim Angels: Dusty Bergman & Jarrod Washburn
  • 2006 LAnaheim Angels: J.C. Romero & Joe Saunders
  • 2007 LAnaheim Angels: Darren Oliver & Joe Saunders
  • 2008 LAnaheim Angels: Darren Oliver & Joe Saunders
With Brian Fuentes newly installed as closer, it took the Angels until the second game of the 2009 season to have three different lefties pitch.

The 1947 Philadelphia Athletics were the last team to use only one lefty. Lou Brissie started all of one game that year, allowing five runs in seven innings.

Sunday, September 6, 2009

SO > TB, Minimum 200 AB

This post details one of my personal favorite "teams." It's weird, comparing strikeouts to total bases, but whatever. I guess it springs out of the generalization that strikeouts are okay if you trade them for power. These players just couldn't break even.

The full list since 1901 can be found by following the above link. Andruw Jones and Tony Pena Jr. were new additions last season. The following players have a chance to join them in 2009:

Chris Davis, 128 K, 126 TB, 303 AB
Bill Hall, 95 K, 94 TB, 270 AB
Kelly Shoppach, 90 K, 91 TB, 235 AB
Koyie Hill, 67 K, 71 TB, 212 AB
Jeff Mathis, 64 K, 64 K, 198 AB

Jeff Mathis had as many strikeouts as total bases in 2008 as well. At least he's consistent.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Update: Last Position Players to Pitch by Team

Previous installments can be found here: April 2008, May 2009.

With September call-ups a couple days away, it is likely the days of position players pitching are over for another season. Here is the full list of 2009 position player pitchers:

Ross Gload (FLA) - May 22
Nick Green (BOS) - August 27
Paul Janish (CIN) - May 6 & July 6
Mark Loretta (LAD) - July 28
Cody Ross (FLA) - April 26
Nick Swisher (NYY) - April 13
Jonathan Van Every (BOS) - April 30
Josh Wilson (ARI & SDP) - May 11 & June 7

Here's the updated list by team:

Last Position Player to Pitch by Team
(through 8/30/2009)

TeamNameDate
Arizona DiamondbacksJosh Wilson
5-11-2009
Atlanta BravesJohn Russell6-25-1989
Baltimore OriolesManny Alexander4-19-1996
Boston Red SoxNick Green
8-27-2009
Chicago CubsGary Gaetti7-3-1999
Chicago White SoxDave Martinez8-4-1995
Cincinnati RedsPaul Janish7-6-2009
Cleveland IndiansTim Laker4-20-2004
Colorado RockiesTodd Zeile9-14-2002
Detroit TigersShane Halter10-1-2000
Florida MarlinsRoss Gload
5-22-2009
Houston AstrosTim Bogar6-24-2000
Kansas City RoyalsTony Pena
6-21-2008
Los Angeles AngelsChili Davis6-17-1993
Los Angeles DodgersMark Loretta
7-28-2009
Milwaukee BrewersTrent Durrington4-17-2004
Minnesota TwinsJohn Moses7-31-1990
New York MetsTodd Zeile7-26-2004
New York YankeesNick Swisher
4-13-2009
Oakland AthleticsFrank Menechino7-18-2000
Philadelphia PhilliesTomas Perez5-13-2002
Pittsburgh PiratesAbraham Nunez5-30-2004
San Diego PadresJosh Wilson
6-7-2009
Seattle MarinersJamie Burke
7-6-2008
San Francisco GiantsGreg Litton7-4-1991
St. Louis CardinalsAaron Miles6-13-2008
Tampa Bay RaysJosh Wilson6-8-2007
Texas RangersScott Sheldon9-6-2000
Toronto Blue JaysFrank Menechino8-28-2004
Washington NationalsJunior Noboa7-20-1990*

* - Fellow position player Dave Martinez pitched right before Noboa in the same game.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

20+ Home Runs

A friend of mine brought this to my attention. Robinson Cano hit his twentieth home run of the season last night, making him the sixth Yankees hitter to reach that number in 2009. With one more 20 HR player, the Yankees will tie the record for most players with 20+ HR on one team. The current record holders:
  • 1996 Baltimore Orioles
    Brady Anderson - 50
    Rafael Palmeiro - 39
    Bobby Bonilla - 28
    Cal Ripken, Jr. - 26
    Chris Hoiles - 25
    Roberto Alomar - 22
    B.J. Surhoff - 21

  • 2000 Toronto Blue Jays
    Carlos Delgado - 41
    Tony Batista - 41
    Brad Fullmer - 32
    Jose Cruz, Jr. - 31
    Raul Mondesi - 24
    Shannon Stewart - 21
    Darrin Fletcher - 20

  • 2005 Texas Rangers
    Mark Teixeira - 43
    Alfonso Soriano - 36
    David Dellucci - 29
    Kevin Mench - 25
    Hank Blalock - 25
    Michael Young - 24
    Rod Barajas - 21
The Yankees have two more players who may well end up with 20 home runs. Derek Jeter has 16 and Jorge Posada hit his 17th earlier tonight.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Unassisted Triple Play

Eric Bruntlett made only the fifteenth unassisted triple play in baseball history today. It ended the game, only the second unassisted triple play to do so.

You can watch the highlight here: http://mlb.mlb.com/media/video.jsp?content_id=6256159
Direct link to video: http://mediadownloads.mlb.com/mlbam/2009/08/23/mlbtv_phinyn_6256159_800K.mp4

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Getting Hit Hard in 2009

What do Trevor Cahill and Jeff Suppan have in common? They are the only two pitchers qualified for the ERA title (1 IP per team game) who have allowed opponents to slug .500 or more this season. Suppan sits at .512 while Cahill is at .505. Suppan will shortly fall off the qualified list, as he is currently injured and hasn't pitched since July 27. His fellow Brewer, Braden Looper, is poised to take his place on the list as he has allowed opponents to slug .499 this year. Jeremy Guthrie (.499), Armando Galarraga (.494), and Jamie Moyer (.491) are also nearby.

Since 1954, forty-four qualified pitchers have allowed opponents to slug .500 over a season. Twenty have cracked the .520 plateau:

NameYearTeamSLG
Jim Deshaies1994MIN.583
Jose Lima2000HOU.578
Darrell May2004KCR.555
Bill Gullickson1994DET.552
Brian Anderson2004KCR.545
Dave Mlicki2001DET/HOU.545
Brandon Backe2008HOU.544
Jose Lima2005KCR.544
Eric Milton2005CIN.543
Terry Mulholland1994NYY.539

The abbreviated 1994 season and Jose Lima are both well-represented. Pitchers just didn't have as much time to a) drop their slugging percentage to something more respectable or b) get replaced before reaching the usual 162 innings to qualify. The other seven seasons all took place this decade, which makes sense as slugging percentages league-wide have reached new heights. Here's the .500+ opponent slugging allowed list prior to 1994:

NameYearTeamSLG
Don Newcombe
1958LAD/CIN.514
Jack Lamabe
1964BOS.507
Bob Knepper
1987
HOU
.502

Yep, that's it.

A high slugging percentage allowed is fueling Jeff Suppan's run at another distinction. He likely will not reach the required 162 innings, but if the season ended today he would be only the ninth qualifying pitcher to allow an OPS of .900 or higher. The current list of eight is the highest slugging allowed list jumbled a bit:

NameYearTeamOPS
Jim Deshaies1994MIN.965
Jose Lima2000HOU.942
Dave Mlicki2001DET/HOU.927
Brandon Backe2008HOU.920
Jose Lima2005KCR.917
Bill Gullickson
1994
DET
.912
Brian Anderson
2004
KCR
.911
Darrell May
2004
KCR
.906

Suppan has allowed opponents to put up a .900 OPS this year. Cahill, if you're wondering, is second with an .856 OPS allowed.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Fewest Team HR at a Position in 2009

Nearly two-thirds of the way through the season, Jason Kendall of the Brewers is hitting .239 and slugging .283. As you might guess, he doesn't have many extra base hits. He has twelve, to be exact, eleven doubles and one triple. He has started 86 of the Brewers 101 games and backup Mike Rivera also is homerless on the year, meaning the Brewers haven't had a single round-tripper from their backstops. What other teams have suffered a homer drought at one position on the diamond? I did not include NL DHs or pitchers.

Fewest Team HR at a Position in 2009
(through 7/28)
  • Milwaukee Brewers, C - 0
  • New York Mets, 2B - 0
  • San Diego Padres, 2B - 1
  • Baltimore Orioles, SS - 2
  • Cincinnati Reds, CF - 2
  • Florida Marlins, 3B - 2
  • Kansas City Royals, SS - 2
  • Minnesota Twins, 2B - 2
  • Minnesota Twins, CF - 2
  • New York Mets, SS - 2
  • San Francisco Giants, SS - 2
  • Washington Nationals, 2B - 2

Sunday, June 14, 2009

First Career Home Runs

Mark Buehrle hit his first career home run today. Later in the same game, he gave up Casey McGehee's first major league home run. I tried looking it up and I believe it's the first time since August 23, 2004 that a pitcher hit his first career home run and gave up another player's first career home run in the same game. That 2004 game featured John Van Benschoten hitting a homer and giving one up to Chris Snyder.

Musing

A couple days ago I was reading baseball news and came across this AP story about the Twins activating Nick Punto on Yahoo. The part that caught my eye:

The switch-hitter has been a valuable utility player for the Twins since 2005.

I saw that and chuckled about his abysmal hitting in 2007 and so far this year (until missing time he had the lowest SLG among qualifiers by about 40 points). Taking a further look, though, I wonder if he just has a serious aversion to odd-numbered years. Punto's batting lines each season since 2005:

2005: 439 PA, .239/.301/.335, 68 OPS+
2006: 524 PA, .290/.352/.373, 90 OPS+
2007: 536 PA, .210/.291/.271, 52 OPS+
2008: 377 PA, .284/.344/.382, 99 OPS+
2009: 157 PA, .202/.303/.225, 47 OPS+

Strange.

Sunday, June 7, 2009

2009 Team Unearned Runs

On Friday I cross-posted something I wrote for Brew Crew Ball regarding earned and unearned runs in an inning with errors and pitching changes. One of the topics that came up was team unearned runs.

The concept of team unearned runs comes from Official Rule 10.16(i).
When pitchers are changed during an inning, the relief pitcher shall not have the benefit of previous chances for outs not accepted in determining earned runs.
You can read my Friday post for an example of this rule being applied. Team unearned runs come into play if a reliever allows earned (to him) runs to score after the team should have been out of the inning. They're relatively rare, since errors, pitching changes, and ineffective relief pitching all have to present for one to result.

Team unearned runs can have an effect on baseball statistics, though. Since they are charged as earned runs to relief pitchers but unearned runs to the team, summing up earned runs allowed by a team's pitchers can make a team's ERA look higher than it should. Baseball-Reference.com calculates team ER and team ERA by summing the earned runs allowed of the team's pitchers, so that's at least one often-used site that can be off. As noted Friday, Cleveland is one example of this. Unfortunately, there are ten other teams in the same boat through June 6.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 252/4.48 - Correct ER/ERA: 250/4.45

    May 25 - 8th inning - Jon Rauch charged with two earned runs (both team unearned)

  • Baltimore Orioles
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 293/5.37 - Correct ER/ERA: 290/5.32

    April 15 - 4th inning - Radhames Liz charged with three earned runs (all team unearned)

  • Chicago Cubs
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 211/4.05 - Correct ER/ERA: 210/4.04

    June 2 - 8th inning - Carlos Marmol charged with one earned run (team unearned)

  • Cleveland Indians
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 298/5.27 - Correct ER/ERA: 297/5.25

    May 12 - 7th inning - Tony Sipp charged with one earned run (team unearned)

  • Colorado Rockies
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 252/4.71 - Correct ER/ERA: 250/4.67

    April 18 - 7th inning - Ryan Speier charged with one earned run (team unearned)
    May 17 - 7th inning - Manuel Corpas charged with one earned run (team unearned)

  • Detroit Tigers
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 217/4.09 - Correct ER/ERA: 209/3.94

    April 7 - 8th inning - Brandon Lyon charged with three earned runs (two team unearned)
    April 28 - 7th inning - Nate Robertson charged with four earned runs (all team unearned); Brandon Lyon charged with two earned runs (both team unearned)

  • Florida Marlins
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 259/4.51 - Correct ER/ERA: 257/4.47

    May 19 - 7th inning - Renyel Pinto charged with one earned run (team unearned)
    June 3 - 5th inning - Hayden Penn charged with one earned run (team unearned)

  • Milwaukee Brewers
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 223/4.07 - Correct ER/ERA: 222/4.05

    May 18 - 7th inning - Mark DiFelice charged with one earned run (team unearned)

  • Oakland Athletics
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 235/4.30 - Correct ER/ERA: 234/4.28

    April 28 - 6th inning - Andrew Bailey charged with one earned run (team unearned)

    This is further notable because of an error in the Baseball-Reference box score/play-by-play. Bailey entered the game due to injury with a 2-0 count on Michael Young. The box score/play-by-play lists Young's walk (and later run) as belonging to Bailey when in fact it should belong to Anderson per Official Rule 10.16(h). Curiously, the walk and run do not count against his total on his player page but they are still there in his game log.

  • San Diego Padres
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 245/4.49 - Correct ER/ERA: 244/4.47

    April 29 - 6th inning - Arturo Lopez charged with one earned run (team unearned)

  • Tampa Bay Rays
    Baseball-Reference ER/ERA: 251/4.49 - Correct ER/ERA: 247/4.42

    May 25 - 9th inning - Grant Balfour charged with two unearned runs (both team unearned); Jason Isringhausen charged with two unearned runs (both team unearned)
Obviously the difference will mean less as the season goes on. Where one team unearned run might cause a difference of 0.02 in a team's ERA now, it might not cause an apparent difference in a team's ERA at the end of the season. However, that's no reason to ignore the fact there is a difference. Who knows, maybe those eight team unearned runs will be the difference between Detroit finishing first, second, or third in the team ERA standings.

Friday, June 5, 2009

Figuring Earned and Unearned Runs in a Crazy Inning

I'm cross-posting this from Brew Crew Ball because I think it's a useful guide to determining earned and unearned runs in an inning involving errors, fielder's choices, and pitching changes. Since I wrote it for a Brewers blog, you'll have to excuse the pro-Brewers tilt. The earned run totals in the final paragraph are outdated, but the larger point holds true. I also have to thank my dad, who has covered 1800+ games for STATS, LLC, for checking my work.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The fifth inning of last night's game officially took 51 minutes. The Brewers' half included eleven batters and two pitching changes and lasted 25 minutes. The Marlins' half had only one pitching change and ten batters but lasted 26 minutes. Since there were errors, pitching changes, and runs galore in the Brewers' half, it's worth talking about.

One of the most confusing parts of scoring a baseball game is determining whether or not runs are earned. Just as confusing is determining which pitcher in a multiple-pitcher inning is responsible for each run. Since the top half of the fifth inning contained just about every possible weird situation relating to earned/unearned runs, let's work through it and figure out how the runs were assigned.

First, two basic rules: if a batter reaches base because of an error or stays on the bases because of an error and then scores a run, that run is unearned. Also, if runs score after error-free play would have resulted in three outs, those runs are unearned.

Now, the full play-by-play of the inning:

Brewers fifth.
West pitching.
McGehee grounded out, third baseman E.Bonifacio to first baseman Cantu.
R.Braun safe at first on fielding error by shortstop H.Ramirez.
Fielder singled to center, R.Braun to second.
Penn pitching.
M.Cameron walked, R.Braun to third, Fielder to second.
Hardy grounded into fielder's choice, third baseman E.Bonifacio to catcher J.Baker, Fielder to third, M.Cameron to second, Hardy to first, R.Braun out.
B.Hall walked, Fielder scored, M.Cameron to third, Hardy to second.
Kendall walked on a full count, M.Cameron scored, Hardy to third, B.Hall to second.
Looper walked, Hardy scored, B.Hall to third, Kendall to second.
Sanches pitching.
C.Hart safe at first on throwing error by third baseman E.Bonifacio, B.Hall scored, Kendall to third, Looper to second.
McGehee doubled to left, Kendall scored, Looper scored, C.Hart to third.
R.Braun struck out.

Whew, that's a screenful. Sean West entered the inning having given up three runs already in the game, all earned. His role in this inning is the easy one to analyze:

Brewers fifth.
West pitching.
McGehee grounded out, third baseman E.Bonifacio to first baseman Cantu.
R.Braun safe at first on fielding error by shortstop H.Ramirez.
Fielder singled to center, R.Braun to second.
Penn pitching.

McGehee's groundout is self-explanatory. Braun's at bat is trickier: he should have been the second out of the inning, but he reached base. Remember this for later. Fielder's single is also a simple ending for West's night. He departed the game having allowed two runners to reach base.

Now, when Penn entered the game, there should have been two outs. However, Rule 10.16(i) says

When pitchers are changed during an inning, the relief pitcher shall not have the benefit of previous chances for outs not accepted in determining earned runs.

So even if there should have been two outs, Penn does not get the benefit of the error for determining his earned and unearned runs. It's probably easiest to examine his outing play by play.

  • M.Cameron walked, R.Braun to third, Fielder to second.

    Braun and Fielder remain West's responsibility.
  • Hardy grounded into fielder's choice, third baseman E.Bonifacio to catcher J.Baker, Fielder to third, M.Cameron to second, Hardy to first, R.Braun out.

    This is a confusing play, especially if you see West was charged with two runs in the inning. Since he was responsible for only two batters and Braun was out at the plate, shouldn't he only be responsible for Fielder from this point forward? The answer is no. It's easiest to think of this situation as if Penn came in with no one on base. In that case, Hardy would have come up with Cameron on first. His fielder's choice would then have wiped out Cameron. It's not Penn's fault Braun was on third base to be put out on the fielder's choice. Ergo, Cameron takes Braun's place as West's responsibility.

  • B.Hall walked, Fielder scored, M.Cameron to third, Hardy to second.

    The first of West's runners scores. It's tricky here, too, because of the two perspectives on how many outs there should be. From West's perspective, Hardy's fielder's choice should have ended the inning. Thus the run Fielder scores against him is unearned. From Penn's perspective, Hardy's FC was only the second out of the inning, so he's still on the hook for future earned runs.
  • Kendall walked on a full count, M.Cameron scored, Hardy to third, B.Hall to second.

    Since Cameron took over Braun's role as West's responsibility, this is the second of West's two runs to score. Again, the inning should be over from his perspective, so this run against him is unearned.
  • Looper walked, Hardy scored, B.Hall to third, Kendall to second.

    Hardy is the first of Penn's runners to come around and score. Since from his perspective there should only be two outs, this run is earned against him.

Penn was finally pulled after going to a 2-1 count on Corey Hart. If Hart had proceeded to walk, he would have counted against Penn (see Rule 10.16(h)). Mercifully, he didn't walk, keeping things a little simpler.

Brian Sanches entered the game with the bases loaded and all three runners Penn's responsibility. The same rule that applied to Penn applies to Sanches, namely that from his perspective there should only be two out. Let's break his outing down play by play as well.

  • Sanches pitching.
    C.Hart safe at first on throwing error by third baseman E.Bonifacio, B.Hall scored, Kendall to third, Looper to second.

    This error should have ended the inning from both Penn's point of view and Sanches' point of view. Thus Hall's run counts against Penn, but it is unearned. Hart is Sanches' responsibility.

  • McGehee doubled to left, Kendall scored, Looper scored, C.Hart to third.

    Both Kendall and Looper reached because of Penn, so their runs are charged to him. Since the inning should have ended after Hart's at bat, neither run is earned. Both runners are Sanches' now, so close the book on Penn.

  • R.Braun struck out.

    The inning finally ends.

The total damage? West is responsible for two runs, both unearned. Penn is responsible for four runs, only one of which is earned. Sanches gave up zero runs. In total, the team gave up six runs, only one of which is earned, right?

Wait! We're not finished yet. From the team's perspective, the inning should have ended with Hardy's fielder's choice, before any runs scored. So even though Penn got charged with an earned run in the inning, that run is marked down as something called a team unearned run. Marking it down as such avoids penalizing the team for putting in a relief pitcher. Remember how Penn entering the game "reset" the number of outs there should have been? If that was carried over to the team, it would effectively force the Marlins' pitching staff to record four would-be outs in the inning before runs became unearned. In short, team unearned runs undo for the team what Rule 10.16(i) does for a relief pitcher.

This can lead to some interesting "discrepancies" in team pitching totals. For example, examine Baseball-Reference's team pitching totals. Note that Cleveland has given up 284 earned runs this year. If you go to Cleveland's team page and sum up the earned runs for every pitcher, you get 284. Duh, right? Not quite. Take a journey over to MLB.com's team pitching totals. There you will note Cleveland as a team has given up 283 earned runs. The difference is one team unearned run on May 12. In that game Tony Sipp gave up an earned run, but it was a team unearned run. Since Baseball-Reference totals earned runs by summing up the earned runs of each pitcher, they end up off by one in this case, affecting the team's ERA. In this case MLB.com's total is correct and the Indians' team ERA is 0.02 lower than what Baseball-Reference shows. Baltimore is in the same situation.

Baseball's rules can be extremely complicated at times. I feel bad for anyone scoring the game last night.

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Balking Debuts

Last Thursday, Kris Medlen was the Atlanta Braves' starting pitcher in a game against the Colorado Rockies. It was his major league debut. He lasted three innings, giving up five runs on three hits and five walks. He also hit a batter and threw two wild pitches. The Rockies went on to win the game 9-0.

The point of this isn't that Medlen had a rough debut - no doubt a desire to impress in his first big league game led to overthrowing and wildness (he has a career BB/9 of 2.0 in the minors). I only bring up his debut because of something else he did: he balked. With two out in the first inning, Todd Helton singled to end a 10-pitch at bat. Medlen then balked, moving Helton to second and allowing Brad Hawpe to drive him in.

Now, Medlen isn't the first player to balk in his major league pitching debut. In fact, he's the 127th player to do so since 1954. Here are some other members of the club: Jim Colborn, Gary Nolan, Jerry Reuss, Milt Wilcox, Bob McClure, Bob Walk, Fernando Valenzuela, Ron Darling, Rudy Seanez, Shane Reynolds, Freddy Garcia, and position players Rocky Colavito and Cesar Tovar. Surprisingly, only three pitchers joined in 1988, the "Year of the Balk."

Nine pitchers balked in their first two games (Medlen's second start was balk-free):
Interestingly, all nine players debuted in the National League. Of the 127 pitchers with debut balks since 1954, 80 of them started in the NL. I guess the senior circuit doesn't cotton to new kids on the block with their fancy moves.

Medlen is the thirteen player to balk in his pitching debut since the turn of the millenium. The others:
The last season without a first-time pitcher balk was 2000. The other such years since 1954 were 1955, 1957, 1959, 1964, 1965, and 1994.

So far, Kris Medlen is the only one of sixty-one new pitchers in 2009 to balk. Who knows? Maybe tonight will feature the guy who makes it two of sixty-two.

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Consecutive Decisions

With the advent of pitch counts and specialized bullpens, starting pitchers have begun averaging fewer and fewer innings per start. One often-noted effect of this is a reduced number of complete games and shutouts around the league. Where the league complete games leader routinely reached double-digits and often more than 20 CG in the 1970's, now baseball has seen only two pitchers complete more than ten games in one year since 1999: Randy Johnson's 12 that season and CC Sabathia's 10 last year. Shutouts are the same way. Where leaders used to regularly place between 5-10, baseball has only seen three players reach five in a year since 1999: AJ Burnett in 2002, Dontrelle Willis in 2005, and CC Sabathia in 2008.

Complete games and shutouts aren't the only casualties of starters not pitching as deep into games anymore. The number of decisions by those starters have been falling as well. If pitchers only last six innings on a quality night, that leaves plenty of time for a bullpen to blow a lead. Likewise, there are plenty of opportunities for his offense to let him off the hook for the loss. This means it's tough for starters to put together long streaks of decisions in each start - somewhere along the line some reliever or batter messes things up.

NOTE: When I wrote this, I was actually looking at streaks of decisions in each appearance, whether starting or in relief. Since starters appeared in relief more prior to the 1970's, it makes a difference in some of the streaks below. You can find the longest streaks of decisions in starts here. The longest such streak is really Fergie Jenkins' 63 in 1970-1971. Sorry for the confusion.

On Friday night, the Toronto Blue Jays lost to the Atlanta Braves 1-0 after a Casey Kotchman sacrifice fly drove in the winning run in the bottom of the 8th. Jays starter Roy Halladay had been pinch-hit for the inning before, so Jesse Carlson was tagged with the loss. Notably, Halladay hadn't had a no-decision since June 25, 2008. That start also occurred in interleague play, but the Blue Jays were at home, so you can't blame pinch-hitting. Halladay's string of 26 decisions in 26 starts ties him for the 40th longest such streak since 1954. The only other starters to carry a streak that far since 2000 were Roy Oswalt (26, 2004-2005), Tim Wakefield (26, 2007), and Bartolo Colon (30, 2004-2005). Colon is one of only nineteen pitchers to reach 30 straight decisions since 1954:
  • Gaylord Perry, 47 (28 W, 19 L) - 1972-1973
  • Nolan Ryan, 42 (25-17) - 1974-1975
  • Juan Marichal, 41 (28-13) - 1964-1965
  • Wilbur Wood, 38 (20-18) - 1972-1973
  • Charlie Hough, 36 (18-18) - 1985-1986
  • Fritz Peterson, 35 (18-17) - 1971-1972
  • Nolan Ryan, 34 (19-15) - 1976-1977
  • Dick Ellsworth, 34 (17-17) - 1963-1964
  • Gaylord Perry, 33 (12-21) - 1974-1975
  • Fergie Jenkins, 33 (20-13) - 1970
  • Robin Roberts, 33 (15-18) - 1959-1960
  • Bob Friend, 32 (19-13) - 1958
  • Ron Guidry, 31 (21-10) - 1983-1984
  • Luis Tiant, 31 (20-11) - 1973
  • Stan Bahnsen, 31 (12-19) - 1973-1974
  • Bartolo Colon, 30 (18-12) - 2004-2005
  • Steve Rogers, 30 (19-11) - 1981-1982
  • Mickey Lolich, 30 (19-11) - 1971-1972
  • Fergie Jenkins, 30 (20-10) - 1970-1971
Randy Johnson came close to joining in 1998, carrying a streak of 29 straight through the end of the year, but the Diamondbacks bullpen couldn't protect a lead in his first start of 1999.

Halladay hasn't had a no-decision against an American League opponent since September 21, 2007, when he threw 8 2/3 innings against the Yankees in what was eventually a 14-inning, 5-4 Toronto triumph. That gives him 40 straight starts with a win or loss against the AL, placing him behind only Perry's 47 51 and Ryan's 42 41 since 1954. In those 40 starts, Halladay is 29-11 with a 2.79 ERA and 246 strikeouts in exactly 300 innings pitched. Can he go eight twelve more starts to eclipse Perry? It's definitely something to keep tabs on when following the tight AL East race.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

SO > TB, Minimum 200 AB

My first real post on this blog had to do with one of my favorite topics: guys with more strikeouts than total bases. Since I never posted a follow-up with 2007 and 2008 players added, I figured now was a good time. The 2009 season is about one-quarter over, so it's also easy to look at guys who might join the list.

First up, the updated list of players with more strikeouts than total bases in 200 or more at bats:

NameYearTeamPositionABAVGOBPSLGTBSOOPS+
Bill Bergen1911BROC227.132.183.1543542-4
Billy Consolo1954BOSSS242.227.324.277676959
Billy Consolo1959BOS
WSH
SS216.213.331.269585967
Ernie Fazio1963HOU2B228.184.273.281647065
Jerry Kindall1963CLE2B234.205.266.295697158
Dave Nicholson1964CHWLF294.204.329.36510712696
Chris Cannizzaro1965NYMC251.183.270.231586046
Don Zimmer1965WSAC226.199.284.252575955
Ray Oyler1966DETSS210.171.263.252536248
Jerry Zimmerman1967MINC234.167.243.192454926
Ray Oyler1968DETSS215.135.213.186405920
George Scott1968BOS1B350.171.236.237838840
Dick Tracewski1968DETSS212.156.239.236505143
Al Weis1968NYMSS274.172.234.204566332
Darrel Chaney1969CINSS209.191.278.234497542
Ray Oyler1969SEPSS255.165.260.267688049
Jim Mason1975NYYSS223.152.228.211474927
John Hale1978SEARF211.171.283.265566456
Leroy Stanton1978SEALF302.182.265.248758047
Bobby Bonds1980STLLF231.203.305.316737472
Tom Donohue1980CALC218.188.216.243536327
Reggie Jackson1983CALRF397.194.290.34013514074
Gary Pettis1987CALCF394.208.302.25910212453
Jody Davis1989ATLC231.169.246.242566139
John Shelby1989LADCF345.183.237.229799236
Jeff Kunkel1990TEXSS200.170.221.280566640
Rob Deer1991DETRF448.179.314.38617317592
Hensley Meulens1991NYYLF288.222.276.319929765
Gary Pettis1991TEXCF282.216.341.277789175
Andujar Cedeno1992HOUSS220.173.232.277617147
Jack Clark1992BOSDH257.210.350.311808782
Billy Ashley1995LADLF215.237.320.372808890
Benji Gil1995TEXSS415.219.266.34714414760
Kimera Bartee1996DETCF217.253.308.304667757
Archi Cianfrocco1997SDP1B220.245.328.355788085
Mark Johnson1997PIT1B219.215.345.315697873
Ryan McGuire1998MON1B210.186.292.243515546
Greg Vaughn2002TBDLF251.163.286.315798260
Mark Bellhorn2005BOS
NYY
2B300.210.324.35710711281
Mark Bellhorn2006SDP3B253.190.285.344879066
Ryan Langerhans2007ATL
OAK
WSN
CF210.167.272.305648153
Andruw Jones2008LADCF209.158.256.249527634
Tony Pena2008KCRSS225.169.189.20947497

Angels catcher Jeff Mathis came close to joining in 2008. Fortunately for him, two singles in his last two at-bats of the campaign gave him 90 total bases to go with his 90 strikeouts in 283 at bats.

As I said, the 2009 season is roughly 25% over. Here are the players with more strikeouts than total bases in 50 or more AB so far:
  • Brent Lillibridge, CHW - 68 AB, 13 TB, 21 SO
  • Edwin Encarnacion, CIN - 63 AB, 12 TB, 19 SO
  • Jordan Schafer, ATL - 125 AB, 40 TB, 46 SO
  • B.J. Upton, TBR - 136 AB, 38 TB, 43 SO
  • Cameron Maybin, FLA - 84 AB, 26 TB, 31 SO
  • Josh Fields, CHW - 129 AB, 40 TB, 43 SO
  • Travis Ishikawa, SFG - 89 AB, 26 TB, 28 SO
  • Ramon Vazquez, PIT - 59 AB, 13 TB, 15 SO
  • Jeff Mathis, LAA - 58 AB, 16 TB, 18 SO
  • Kelly Shoppach, CLE - 66 AB, 26 TB, 27 SO
  • Rob Johnson, SEA - 63 AB, 18 TB, 19 SO

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Update: Last Position Players to Pitch by Team

UPDATE: New post through August 30, 2009 here.

Since plenty of people have stumbled across my April 2008 post about the last position players to pitch for each team, I figured it was high time for an update. So far in 2009, four position players have taken the mound for their teams: Paul Janish, Cody Ross, Nick Swisher, and Jonathan Van Every. Last year Jamie Burke, Aaron Miles, and shortstop Tony Pena pitched. Burke even picked up a loss.

Here's the updated list:

Last Position Player to Pitch by Team

TeamNameDate
Arizona DiamondbacksJeff Cirillo8-20-2007
Atlanta BravesJohn Russell6-25-1989
Baltimore OriolesManny Alexander4-19-1996
Boston Red SoxJonathan Van Every
4-30-2009
Chicago CubsGary Gaetti7-3-1999
Chicago White SoxDave Martinez8-4-1995
Cincinnati RedsPaul Janish5-6-2009
Cleveland IndiansTim Laker4-20-2004
Colorado RockiesTodd Zeile9-14-2002
Detroit TigersShane Halter10-1-2000
Florida MarlinsCody Ross
4-26-2009
Houston AstrosTim Bogar6-24-2000
Kansas City RoyalsTony Pena
6-21-2008
Los Angeles AngelsChili Davis6-17-1993
Los Angeles DodgersRobin Ventura6-25-2004
Milwaukee BrewersTrent Durrington4-17-2004
Minnesota TwinsJohn Moses7-31-1990
New York MetsTodd Zeile7-26-2004
New York YankeesNick Swisher
4-13-2009
Oakland AthleticsFrank Menechino7-18-2000
Philadelphia PhilliesTomas Perez5-13-2002
Pittsburgh PiratesAbraham Nunez5-30-2004
San Diego PadresSean Burroughs9-20-2005
Seattle MarinersJamie Burke
7-6-2008
San Francisco GiantsGreg Litton7-4-1991
St. Louis CardinalsAaron Miles6-13-2008
Tampa Bay RaysJosh Wilson6-8-2007
Texas RangersScott Sheldon9-6-2000
Toronto Blue JaysFrank Menechino8-28-2004
Washington NationalsJunior Noboa7-20-1990*

* - Fellow position player Dave Martinez pitched right before Noboa in the same game.

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

The Unique Nationals

The Washington Nationals might have the worst record in the majors, but they've got one thing going for them. Through May 5th, every regular* in the Nationals lineup has an OPS+ over 100. No other team can claim that.

* Guys in the top spots on each team's Baseball-Reference.com page.